SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Chesterfield |
40.96% ( 2.14) | 23.9% ( -0.27) | 35.14% ( -1.87) |
| Both teams to score 61.56% ( 0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.37% ( 1.07) | 40.62% ( -1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.99% ( 1.09) | 63.01% ( -1.09) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.91% ( 1.47) | 20.08% ( -1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.68% ( 2.3) | 52.32% ( -2.31) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.03% ( -0.5) | 22.96% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.25% ( -0.74) | 56.75% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.32)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.21)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.04% Total : 40.96% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.44)0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.41)1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.24)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.21% Total : 35.14% |
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