Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.
0.02) 
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