Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for York City had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.02) 
