Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.03) 
