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Nations League | Relegation Playoff | 1st Leg
Mar 20, 2024 at 11pm UK
LFF Stadium, Vilnius
BN

Lithuania
vs.
Belarus

Coverage of the Nations League Relegation Playoff clash between Lithuania and Belarus.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Gibraltar 0-1 Lithuania
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Belarus vs. Lithuania
Saturday, March 23 at 11pm in Nations League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
All competitions
Last Game: Belarus 0-2 Montenegro
Thursday, March 21 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Belarus vs. Lithuania
Saturday, March 23 at 11pm in Nations League
Current Group I Standings P GD PTS
1Romania101122
2Switzerland101117
3Israel10015
4Belarus10-512
5Kosovo10011
6Andorra10-172

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Belarus win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw has a probability of 26% and a win for Lithuania has a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Lithuania win it is 1-0 (7.99%).

Result
LithuaniaDrawBelarus
21.57% (-0.297 -0.3) 25.95% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03) 52.48% (0.326 0.33)
Both teams to score 45.36% (-0.277 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.7% (-0.174 -0.17)57.29% (0.171 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.87% (-0.139 -0.14)78.13% (0.137 0.14)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.1% (-0.405 -0.41)41.89% (0.403 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.65% (-0.352 -0.35)78.34% (0.351 0.35)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.07% (0.066000000000003 0.07)21.92% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.8% (0.102 0.1)55.19% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Lithuania 21.57%
    Belarus 52.46%
    Draw 25.95%
LithuaniaDrawBelarus
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-1 @ 5.28% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.48% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.53% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.16% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.01% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 21.57%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.18% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 13.93% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 10.57% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 5.35% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.66% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.03% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 52.46%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Cyprus 1-0 Lithuania
Sunday, November 19 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Montenegro 2-0 Lithuania
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Lithuania 2-2 Hungary
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Bulgaria 0-2 Lithuania
Saturday, October 14 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Lithuania 1-3 Serbia
Sunday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Lithuania 2-2 Montenegro
Thursday, September 7 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Kosovo 0-1 Belarus
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Belarus 1-0 Andorra
Saturday, November 18 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Switzerland 3-3 Belarus
Sunday, October 15 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Belarus 0-0 Romania
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Israel 1-0 Belarus
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Andorra 0-0 Belarus
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying


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