NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Apr 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
The Showgrounds
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ballymena United in this match.
| Result |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
43.93% ( -0.07) | 27.02% ( 0.04) | 29.06% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.86% ( -0.09) |
| 43.95% ( -0.13) | 56.05% ( 0.13) |
| 22.87% ( -0.11) | 77.13% ( 0.11) |
| 74.66% ( -0.09) | 25.35% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.87% ( -0.13) | 60.13% ( 0.13) |
| 65.45% ( -0.05) | 34.55% ( 0.05) |
