NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 25
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview
Forsythe (6'), Lowry (59')
Lowry (42'),
Winchester (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Linfield.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Linfield win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result |
| Crusaders | Draw | Linfield |
44.89% ( 1.38) | 26.27% ( -0.58) | 28.85% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( 1.3) |
| 46.72% ( 1.89) | 53.28% ( -1.89) |
| 25.17% ( 1.58) | 74.83% ( -1.58) |
| 76.35% ( 1.51) | 23.65% ( -1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.26% ( 2.13) | 57.74% ( -2.13) |
| 66.75% ( 0.39) | 33.25% ( -0.39) |
