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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 23
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
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Crusaders
3 - 1
Newry City AFC

Ebbe (31'), Owens (63'), Forsythe (80')
Lowry (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carville (77' pen.)
Donnelly (45+2')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Newry City AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glenavon 4-2 Crusaders
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 1-2 Coleraine
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 85.93%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 4.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 4-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.61%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (1.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawNewry City AFC
85.93% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24) 9.73% (0.137 0.14) 4.34% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 43.19% (0.283 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.48% (-0.14 -0.14)28.53% (0.143 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.61% (-0.175 -0.17)49.39% (0.177 0.18)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.49% (-0.062000000000012 -0.06)4.51% (0.0661 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.52% (-0.199 -0.2)18.49% (0.202 0.2)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.23% (0.328 0.33)54.77% (-0.325 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.26% (0.199 0.2)87.74% (-0.19699999999999 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 85.92%
    Newry City AFC 4.34%
    Draw 9.73%
CrusadersDrawNewry City AFC
3-0 @ 12.25% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 11.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 9.49% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.38% (0.033 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.14% (0.065 0.06)
5-0 @ 5.88% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-1 @ 5.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
5-1 @ 3.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
6-0 @ 3.04% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.032 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.017 0.02)
7-0 @ 1.35% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.07% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 85.92%
1-1 @ 4.61% (0.063 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.47% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.15% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 9.73%
0-1 @ 1.49% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 1.39% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 4.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Glenavon 4-2 Crusaders
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-3 Crusaders
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 3-0 Cliftonville
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Coleraine 2-0 Crusaders
Friday, December 9 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 3-2 Glentoran
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 0-0 Crusaders
Saturday, November 26 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 1-2 Coleraine
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 2-0 Newry City AFC
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 2-0 Newry City AFC
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 3-0 Portadown
Sunday, December 4 at 2pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 2-0 Newry City AFC
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 4-0 Newry City AFC
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership


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