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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Oval

Glentoran
3 - 0
Newry City AFC

Burns (67'), Roy (69'), McClean (87')
McCartan (6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Forde (24')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glentoran and Newry City AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portadown 0-3 Glentoran
Friday, August 26 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 1-5 Newry City AFC
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 24.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 0-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.

Result
GlentoranDrawNewry City AFC
51.65% (-1.282 -1.28) 23.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.74% (1.287 1.29)
Both teams to score 56% (1.492 1.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92% (1.286 1.29)45.08% (-1.289 -1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.57% (1.222 1.22)67.43% (-1.226 -1.23)
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.53% (0.00099999999999056 0)17.47% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)47.96% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (1.806 1.81)32.15% (-1.809 -1.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (1.999 2)68.63% (-2.003 -2)
Score Analysis
    Glentoran 51.65%
    Newry City AFC 24.74%
    Draw 23.62%
GlentoranDrawNewry City AFC
1-0 @ 9.8% (-0.55 -0.55)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.48 -0.48)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.97% (-0.279 -0.28)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.138 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 51.65%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.318 -0.32)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.238 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.62%
0-1 @ 6.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.31% (0.272 0.27)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.155 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.213 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.186 0.19)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 24.74%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Portadown 0-3 Glentoran
Friday, August 26 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 0-1 Glentoran
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 3-1 Crusaders
Friday, August 19 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 0-0 Glentoran
Friday, August 12 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 2-4 Larne
Friday, May 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 2-0 Glenavon
Tuesday, May 10 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 1-5 Newry City AFC
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 1-2 Crusaders
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 1-3 Linfield
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-1 Newry City AFC
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-1 Dungannon
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Institute 2-1 Newry City AFC
Tuesday, April 23 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership


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