SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 55.82%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 22.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.8%) and 0-1 (7.64%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Coleraine |
22.9% ( -0.17) | 21.28% ( -0.09) | 55.82% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 61.95% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.78% ( 0.25) | 36.22% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.66% ( 0.27) | 58.34% ( -0.27) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.18% ( 0) | 28.82% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.32% | 64.67% ( -0) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.02% ( 0.16) | 12.97% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.53% ( 0.33) | 39.47% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Coleraine |
| 2-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.5% 3-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.29% Total : 22.9% | 1-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.28% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( -0)0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 6.6% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.37% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 4% Total : 55.82% |
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