SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Coleraine win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Coleraine |
58.98% ( 0.61) | 21.32% ( -0.09) | 19.69% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 56.76% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.21% ( -0.34) | 40.78% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.83% ( -0.35) | 63.17% ( 0.35) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.48% ( 0.07) | 13.52% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.43% ( 0.15) | 40.57% ( -0.15) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.63% ( -0.71) | 34.36% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.93% ( -0.77) | 71.07% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Coleraine |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.19)1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.32% Total : 58.98% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.32% | 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.06% Total : 19.69% |
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