SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Warta Poznan win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Warta Poznan |
60.01% ( 0.12) | 22.39% ( -0.12) | 17.6% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.43% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.36% ( 0.47) | 48.64% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.24% ( 0.43) | 70.76% ( -0.43) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.2% ( 0.2) | 15.8% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.04% ( 0.37) | 44.96% ( -0.37) |
| Warta Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.71% ( 0.28) | 41.29% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.19% ( 0.24) | 77.81% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Warta Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 60% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.38% | 0-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 17.6% |
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