SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Zrinjski Mostar had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Zrinjski Mostar win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Zrinjski Mostar |
58.42% ( -0.05) | 22.98% ( 0.01) | 18.6% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.47% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.46% ( -0.01) | 49.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.43% ( -0.01) | 71.57% ( 0.01) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.34% ( -0.02) | 16.66% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.49% ( -0.04) | 46.51% ( 0.04) |
| Zrinjski Mostar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.36% ( 0.03) | 40.64% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.77% ( 0.03) | 77.23% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Zrinjski Mostar |
| 1-0 @ 12.13% 2-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 58.42% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.97% | 0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 18.6% |
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