Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ruch Chorzow win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ruch Chorzow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
-0.31) 
0.34) 
