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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.89%) and 2-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
47.56% ( 0.02) | 21.04% ( 0.02) | 31.4% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 71.06% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.32% ( -0.12) | 27.69% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.65% ( -0.15) | 48.35% ( 0.15) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.51% ( -0.03) | 12.49% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.53% ( -0.08) | 38.48% ( 0.08) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.2% ( -0.07) | 18.8% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.78% ( -0.13) | 50.22% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.56% Total : 47.56% | 1-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 7.1% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.69% Total : 21.04% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.41% Total : 31.4% |
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