Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.87%) and 1-3 (5.75%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
31.18% ( -0.76) | 21.88% ( 0.11) | 46.94% ( 0.65) |
Both teams to score 67.62% ( -0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.92% ( -0.94) | 32.08% ( 0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.34% ( -1.11) | 53.66% ( 1.11) |
Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.92% ( -0.86) | 21.08% ( 0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.1% ( -1.37) | 53.9% ( 1.37) |
Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.68% ( -0.13) | 14.32% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.85% ( -0.26) | 42.15% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.09) 4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.18% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.88% | 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 5.75% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.06) 3-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 3.61% Total : 46.94% |
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