We said: Arsenal 2-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Arteta has developed Arsenal into experts at keeping things watertight at the back, and they would do well to rely on their recent experience of keeping fellow defensive masters Wolves out with 10 men.
Lage's side must still be wondering how they failed to take something from their meeting with the Gunners at Molineux, and a close encounter is in store between these two full-strength sides, but Arsenal have been a different beast at the Emirates this term and should finally claim a home win versus Wolves to close the gap on Man United.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 15.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.
