Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
