Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
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