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Premier League | Gameweek 34
Jul 8, 2020 at 8.15pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
LL

Brighton
1 - 3
Liverpool

Trossard (45')
Lamptey (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Salah (6', 76'), Henderson (8')
Williams (41'), Mane (62'), Fabinho (78'), Gomez (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-0 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLiverpool
23.2%23.92%52.88%
Both teams to score 53.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.13%47.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.95%70.05%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.99%35.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.25%71.75%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95%18.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.04%48.95%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 23.2%
    Liverpool 52.88%
    Draw 23.91%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 6.63%
2-1 @ 5.96%
2-0 @ 3.48%
3-1 @ 2.09%
3-2 @ 1.79%
3-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 23.2%
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 6.32%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.91%
0-1 @ 10.81%
1-2 @ 9.72%
0-2 @ 9.26%
1-3 @ 5.55%
0-3 @ 5.28%
2-3 @ 2.91%
1-4 @ 2.37%
0-4 @ 2.26%
2-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 52.88%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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