Burnley
1 - 2
Brighton

Tarkowski (2')
Berg Gudmundsson (9'), Tarkowski (13')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Maupay (73'), Mac Allister (78')
Maupay (26')

Preview

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
30.94%	28.76%	40.3%

Both teams to score 44.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.44%

61.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.59%

81.41%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.93%

36.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.15%

72.85%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.09%

29.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.99%

66.01%

Score Analysis

Burnley 30.94%

Brighton & Hove Albion 40.3%

Draw 28.74%

Burnley	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 6.77% 2-0 @ 5.61% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.96% Total : 30.94%	1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.78% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.74%	0-1 @ 13.02% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 7.86% 1-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 1.64% 1-4 @ 0.97% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.45% Total : 40.3%