Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 14.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.98%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
