SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Liverpool |
41.73% ( -0.21) | 25.55% ( 0.03) | 32.72% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 55.07% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.2% ( -0.09) | 48.8% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.1% ( -0.09) | 70.9% ( 0.09) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( -0.14) | 23.23% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.86% ( -0.21) | 57.14% ( 0.21) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( 0.07) | 28.27% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.01% ( 0.08) | 63.99% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.73% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.72% |
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