Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 77.56%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 7.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.95%) and 1-0 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chelsea in this match.
