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Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Selhurst Park
WL

Crystal Palace
3 - 2
Wolves

Edouard (56', 84'), Eze (78')
Ward (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hee-chan (65'), Cunha (90+6')
Semedo (24'), Ait-Nouri (27'), Gomes (55')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
44.62% (-0.135 -0.13) 26.49% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 28.89% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.31% (-0.228 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.86% (-0.305 -0.31)54.14% (0.30399999999999 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44% (-0.255 -0.26)75.56% (0.254 0.25)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (-0.2 -0.2)24.15% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (-0.282 -0.28)58.47% (0.279 0.28)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.33% (-0.125 -0.13)33.67% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.68% (-0.136 -0.14)70.32% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 44.61%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 28.89%
    Draw 26.49%
Crystal PalaceDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 11.55% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 44.61%
1-1 @ 12.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.096 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 8.85% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.89%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Plymouth 2-4 Crystal Palace
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-1 Arsenal
Monday, August 21 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-0 Lyon
Saturday, August 5 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-1 Sevilla (0-1 pen.)
Monday, July 31 at 12am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Wolves 5-0 Blackpool
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Everton 0-1 Wolves
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-4 Brighton
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Wolves
Monday, August 14 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 3-1 Rennes
Saturday, August 5 at 12.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Wolves 0-0 Luton
Wednesday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1


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