Everton
1 - 0
Chelsea

Sigurdsson (22' pen.)
Richarlison (24'), Doucoure (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kante (45+3'), James (59'), Silva (65')

Build‑up

Frank Lampard: 'We are a work in progress'

Frank Lampard does not blame Edouard Mendy for Everton loss

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Everton had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Everton win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Everton	Draw	Chelsea
25.04%	22.51%	52.45%

Both teams to score 60.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.23%

39.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.87%

62.12%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.94%

29.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.04%

64.96%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.74%

15.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.05%

43.95%

Score Analysis

Everton 25.04%

Chelsea 52.45%

Draw 22.51%

Everton	Draw	Chelsea
2-1 @ 6.37% 1-0 @ 5.48% 2-0 @ 3.39% 3-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.32% Total : 25.04%	1-1 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 4.43% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.51%	1-2 @ 9.68% 0-1 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 7.83% 1-3 @ 6.07% 0-3 @ 4.91% 2-3 @ 3.75% 1-4 @ 2.85% 0-4 @ 2.31% 2-4 @ 1.76% 1-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.87% Total : 52.45%