SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-0 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Arsenal |
21.55% ( -0.66) | 22.83% ( -0.38) | 55.62% ( 1.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.6% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.96% ( 0.87) | 45.04% ( -0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.61% ( 0.83) | 67.39% ( -0.83) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.03% ( -0.14) | 34.97% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.29% ( -0.14) | 71.71% ( 0.14) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.96% ( 0.67) | 16.04% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.61% ( 1.22) | 45.39% ( -1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.01% Total : 21.55% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.83% | 0-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 5.73% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 2.76% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 2.62% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.07)1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.07)0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.39% Total : 55.62% |
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