SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Brentford | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 11 | Fulham | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Tottenham Hotspur | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Leeds United | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
37.1% ( -0.03) | 26.34% ( 0.03) | 36.56% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 53.08% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.35% ( -0.12) | 51.65% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.57% ( -0.1) | 73.43% ( 0.1) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( -0.07) | 26.99% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.66% ( -0.09) | 62.34% ( 0.09) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% ( -0.05) | 27.3% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.25% ( -0.07) | 62.75% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 37.1% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 36.56% |
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