Momentum is certainly in Arsenal's favour heading towards the end of a largely disappointing year, and they are set to extend their winning streak to five with another success on Boxing Day. Remarkably, Norwich have never taken three Premier League points on December 26, and a thin squad disrupted by illness and injuries cannot hope to compete with their capital counterparts this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 24.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-0 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Arsenal
24.56%	24.82%	50.63%

Both teams to score 51.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.68%

50.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.74%

72.26%

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.85%

35.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.1%

71.9%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.12%

19.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48%

52%

Score Analysis

Norwich City 24.56%

Arsenal 50.62%

Draw 24.81%

Norwich City	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 7.31% 2-1 @ 6.17% 2-0 @ 3.82% 3-1 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.04% Total : 24.56%	1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.81%	0-1 @ 11.28% 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-2 @ 9.12% 1-3 @ 5.13% 0-3 @ 4.91% 2-3 @ 2.68% 1-4 @ 2.07% 0-4 @ 1.98% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.82% Total : 50.62%