Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Burnley
26.58% ( -0.56)	26.52% ( 0.34)	46.89% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 48.68% (

-1.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.5% (

-1.6)

55.5% (

1.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.32% (

-1.33)

76.68% (

1.33)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.76% (

-1.33)

36.24% (

1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.98% (

-1.37)

73.02% (

1.37)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.34% (

-0.58)

23.66% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.24% (

-0.85)

57.76% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 26.58%

Burnley 46.89%

Draw 26.52%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.58%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.89%