SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Boavista win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Braga |
28.26% ( 0.07) | 23.93% | 47.81% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.15% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.31% ( 0.04) | 43.69% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.92% ( 0.04) | 66.08% ( -0.04) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( 0.07) | 28.71% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.46% ( 0.08) | 64.54% ( -0.08) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.58% ( -0.01) | 18.42% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.42% ( -0.01) | 49.58% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Braga |
| 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.26% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.33% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 3.47% Total : 47.81% |
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