With more quality throughout their squad and home advantage on their side, we back Braga to gain the advantage in Portugal on Thursday before travelling to Baku for the second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Qarabag FK
58.21% ( 0)	21.12% ( -0)	20.66%

Both teams to score 59.12% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.57% (

38.43% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.28%

60.72% (

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.01%

12.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.51% (

39.49%

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.95% (

-0)

32.05% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.48%

68.52% (

Score Analysis

Braga 58.21%

Qarabag FK 20.66%

Draw 21.12%

Braga	Draw	Qarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 8.67% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.5% 3-1 @ 6.71% 3-0 @ 5.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.82% 4-1 @ 3.43% 4-0 @ 3.01% 4-2 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.4% 5-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.73% Total : 58.21%	1-1 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.16% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.12%	1-2 @ 5.5% 0-1 @ 4.74% 0-2 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.5% Total : 20.66%