Boavista are in all sorts of trouble at the moment, both on the pitch and behind the scenes, and a few more poor results could see them sucked into a relegation scrap before long. Vitoria, on the other hand, seem to have found a good patch of form and will be brimming with confidence after overcoming the league leaders last week. As a result, we feel the visitors will come away with the points in this one.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
0) 
-0.04) 
