This match ultimately has no bearing on the league standing, but both teams will be pushing hard simply because of how tough their campaigns have been.
Estoril Praia have been putting together a good run toward the end of the season and considering they have the home advantage they should be able to take all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
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