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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
PD

Estoril
1 - 3
Pacos de Ferreira

Geraldes (50')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Butzke (16'), Thomas (26'), Holsgrove (64')
Carlos (45+1'), Holsgrove (63'), Uilton (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-0 Estoril
Monday, February 13 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Monday, February 6 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira

While Pacos de Ferreira will be looking to stop the rot, they face an Estoril Praia side who have been solid at home in recent weeks. A run of two wins in three matches should have the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota buzzing this weekend and we predict that the Canarinhos will come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawPacos de Ferreira
46.37% (-0.189 -0.19) 27.52% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 26.1% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 45.56% (0.162 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.67% (0.131 0.13)59.33% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.27% (0.101 0.1)79.72% (-0.102 -0.1)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)25.61% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)60.49% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.25% (0.244 0.24)38.75% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.51% (0.23 0.23)75.49% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 46.37%
    Pacos de Ferreira 26.1%
    Draw 27.52%
Estoril PraiaDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 13.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.21% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 46.37%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.92% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 9.41% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 26.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-0 Estoril
Monday, February 13 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-1 Boavista
Thursday, February 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, February 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, January 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, January 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-0 Casa Pia
Monday, January 16 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Monday, February 6 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 2-1 Gil Vicente
Tuesday, January 31 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Thursday, January 26 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-2 Braga
Saturday, January 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, January 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Chaves
Sunday, January 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga


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