SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 8.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.72%) and 3-0 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Arouca |
75.2% ( 0.03) | 15.84% ( -0.07) | 8.96% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.94% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.15% ( 0.48) | 39.85% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.79% ( 0.5) | 62.21% ( -0.51) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.01% ( 0.13) | 8.99% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.36% ( 0.31) | 30.64% ( -0.31) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.47% ( 0.41) | 49.52% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.67% ( 0.28) | 84.33% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Arouca |
| 2-0 @ 12.91% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.72% Total : 75.18% | 1-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.67% Total : 15.84% | 0-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 8.96% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
