SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Rio Ave |
49.74% ( 0.19) | 24.67% ( 0.01) | 25.59% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 53.43% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.12% ( -0.19) | 48.88% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.03% ( -0.17) | 70.97% ( 0.17) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% | 19.67% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.34% | 51.66% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.51% ( -0.26) | 33.49% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.87% ( -0.29) | 70.13% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 49.74% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.35% Total : 25.59% |
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