SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.36%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
16.03% ( -3.1) | 21.27% ( -0.88) | 62.71% ( 3.99) |
| Both teams to score 49.71% ( -3.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.41% ( -1.27) | 46.59% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.14% ( -1.2) | 68.86% ( 1.2) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.97% ( -4.44) | 42.03% ( 4.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.54% ( -4.09) | 78.46% ( 4.09) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.75% ( 0.85) | 14.25% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.98% ( 1.63) | 42.02% ( -1.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.75)2-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.47)3-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.41)3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.35)Other @ 1.7% Total : 16.03% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.38) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.58)Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.26% | 0-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.94) 0-2 @ 11.36% ( 1.22)1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 7.38% ( 0.99)1-3 @ 6.4% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 3.6% ( 0.58)1-4 @ 3.12% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.29)0-5 @ 1.4% ( 0.26)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.1)1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.58% Total : 62.7% |
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