Casa Pia have been solid at the defensive end of the pitch this season and will fancy their chances against a Pacos de Ferreira side who have scored just twice this season. However, we predict the Pacenses will do just enough to leave with a share of the spoils and end their losing streak. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Casa Pia
41.85% ( 0.07)	26.86% ( 0.07)	31.29% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 50.37% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.39% (

-0.32)

54.61% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.05% (

-0.27)

75.95% (

0.27)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.24% (

-0.11)

25.76% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.3% (

-0.15)

60.7% (

0.15)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.85% (

-0.26)

32.16% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.36% (

-0.3)

68.64% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 41.85%

Casa Pia 31.29%

Draw 26.85%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.85%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.85%	0-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.29%