Sporting head into this match following a positive run of results, but the job is far from over, with Benfica and Porto still hot on their heels. The Lions are in good form lately, and we expect them to continue in that vein with another league win in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.55%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 11.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.06%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
-0.03) 
0.02) 
