SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.62%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 12.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Sturm Graz win it was 1-2 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Sturm Graz |
70.62% ( -0.18) | 16.61% ( 0.08) | 12.76% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 57.7% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.03% ( -0.13) | 31.96% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.48% ( -0.15) | 53.52% ( 0.15) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.94% ( -0.07) | 8.06% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.65% ( -0.17) | 28.35% ( 0.17) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.76% ( 0.06) | 37.24% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.97% ( 0.06) | 74.02% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Sturm Graz |
| 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.9% 5-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.52% Total : 70.62% | 1-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 16.61% | 1-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 12.76% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
