SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Young Boys had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.94%) and 1-3 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Young Boys win it was 2-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Young Boys | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
18.26% ( -0.02) | 18.87% ( -0.01) | 62.87% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 63.19% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.75% ( 0.02) | 31.25% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.31% ( 0.02) | 52.69% ( -0.02) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.89% ( -0) | 30.11% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.75% ( -0) | 66.25% ( 0) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.41% ( 0.01) | 9.58% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.94% ( 0.03) | 32.06% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Young Boys | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 2-1 @ 4.88% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.46% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.08% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.61% Total : 18.26% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.89% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 18.87% | 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.94% 1-3 @ 7.45% ( 0)0-1 @ 6.77% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.2% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.47% ( 0)1-4 @ 4.37% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.64% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.62% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.05% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.71% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.23% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 3.88% Total : 62.87% |
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