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FL
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 5, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
B

Farense
2 - 0
Boavista

Falcao (28'), Duarte (39')
Isidoro (62'), Rossi (78'), Makouta (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sasso (53'), Santos (78'), Makouta (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 2-1 Farense
Saturday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, March 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 1-1 Boavista

Both Farense and Boavista are winless in recent form, hovering above relegation. Farense's home advantage and historical wins against Boavista could give them the edge. However, Boavista's slight form improvement under a new manager should not be ignored. Expect a close match, possibly a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawBoavista
38.34% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 26.54% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 35.12% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.56% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.78% (0.0039999999999978 0)74.22% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.29% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)26.71% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.03% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)61.97% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39% (0.02000000000001 0.02)28.61% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.59% (0.023000000000003 0.02)64.41% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 38.33%
    Boavista 35.12%
    Draw 26.54%
SC FarenseDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.93% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.33%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 7.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 9.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.3% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.5% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 35.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Arouca 2-1 Farense
Saturday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 1-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, March 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 2-1 Farense
Saturday, March 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-2 Farense
Sunday, March 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 0-1 Moreirense
Saturday, February 24 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Farense
Sunday, February 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, March 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 6-1 Boavista
Sunday, March 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 1-0 Moreirense
Saturday, March 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-1 Boavista
Monday, March 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-4 Braga
Monday, February 26 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 2-1 Boavista
Saturday, February 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga


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