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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 12.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Gil Vicente |
68.37% ( 2.08) | 18.74% ( -0.62) | 12.89% ( -1.45) |
| Both teams to score 49.96% ( -1.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.94% ( -0.5) | 42.05% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.54% ( -0.5) | 64.46% ( 0.51) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.74% ( 0.42) | 11.26% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.15% ( 0.89) | 35.85% ( -0.89) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.3% ( -2.47) | 43.7% ( 2.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.12% ( -2.12) | 79.87% ( 2.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 2-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.64) 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.41)2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.6)3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.4)4-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.19)5-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.2)5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.79% Total : 68.36% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.34)Other @ 0.91% Total : 18.74% | 0-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.38)0-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.18)Other @ 1.32% Total : 12.89% |
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