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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Vizela
B

Vizela
1 - 2
Benfica

Samu (70' pen.)
Pereira (90+5'), Wilson (90+12')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Musa (9'), di Maria (39')
Aursnes (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 1-0 Gil Vicente
Friday, September 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vizela 0-3 Benfica

Vizela will head into this fixture with a sense of freedom now that they have gotten their first win of the season on the board. However, with Benfica having ground to make up, they will be focused on showcasing their superior quality, and we expect the visitors to cruise to maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 17.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
VizelaDrawBenfica
17.03% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 21.25% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 61.72% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.94% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.29% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)44.71% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.93% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)67.08% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.37% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)39.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)76.32% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)13.95% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.57% (0.010000000000005 0.01)41.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Vizela 17.03%
    Benfica 61.71%
    Draw 21.25%
VizelaDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 4.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 2.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 1.44%
3-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 17.03%
1-1 @ 10.08%
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.59%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.25%
0-1 @ 10.89%
0-2 @ 10.72%
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-3 @ 7.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 6.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 3.47% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 3.21% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 3.02%
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 61.71%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Vizela 1-0 Gil Vicente
Friday, September 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-0 Vizela
Sunday, August 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 2-2 Arouca
Sunday, August 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-2 Vizela
Saturday, August 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 1-0 Vizela
Friday, July 28 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Vizela 2-1 Maritimo
Saturday, July 22 at 3.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-3 Benfica
Saturday, August 26 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, August 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 3-2 Benfica
Monday, August 14 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Porto
Wednesday, August 9 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-1 Benfica
Sunday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1


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