Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
29.66% ( 0.69) | 26.96% ( -0.05) | 43.38% ( -0.64) |
Both teams to score 49.33% ( 0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.4% ( 0.47) | 55.6% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.24% ( 0.38) | 76.76% ( -0.38) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.15% ( 0.77) | 33.85% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.48% ( 0.83) | 70.52% ( -0.83) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.58% ( -0.11) | 25.42% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.77% ( -0.15) | 60.23% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.66% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.37% |
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