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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 26
Mar 8, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadion Andelko Herjavec

Varazdin
2 - 2
Istra 1961

Mitrovski (16'), Dabro (30')
Mitrovski (41'), Poldrugac (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Valincic (43'), Vuk (83' pen.)
Hujber (30'), Maresic (77')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Varazdin and NK Istra 1961.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rijeka 2-0 Varazdin
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-0 Istra 1961
Saturday, March 2 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
NK VarazdinDrawNK Istra 1961
39.66% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 26.94% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 33.39% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 50.77% (-0.322 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.6% (-0.399 -0.4)54.4% (0.399 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.22% (-0.333 -0.33)75.77% (0.33200000000001 0.33)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)26.83% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.86% (-0.222 -0.22)62.13% (0.221 0.22)
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39% (-0.282 -0.28)30.61% (0.281 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.15% (-0.335 -0.34)66.85% (0.334 0.33)
Score Analysis
    NK Varazdin 39.66%
    NK Istra 1961 33.39%
    Draw 26.94%
NK VarazdinDrawNK Istra 1961
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 39.66%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.127 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.047999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.57% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.76%
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 33.39%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Rijeka 2-0 Varazdin
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-1 Hajduk Split
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Varazdin
Sunday, February 18 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Rudes
Friday, February 9 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 0-0 Varazdin
Friday, February 2 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-2 Slaven Koprivnica
Friday, January 26 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-0 Istra 1961
Saturday, March 2 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 2-1 Rudes
Saturday, February 24 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 1-1 Istra 1961
Friday, February 16 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 1-0 Osijek
Saturday, February 10 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 3-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, January 27 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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