SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
53.49% ( 0.12) | 23.74% ( -0) | 22.77% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.3% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.44% ( -0.11) | 47.55% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% ( -0.1) | 69.76% ( 0.1) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.29% ( 0.01) | 17.71% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.63% ( 0.01) | 48.36% ( -0.01) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.77% ( -0.17) | 35.22% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.02% ( -0.17) | 71.97% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.59% Total : 53.48% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 6.51% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 22.77% |
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