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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 29, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
VTB Arena (Moskva)

Dynamo Moscow
2 - 1
Ural

Tyukavin (42'), Bitello (61')
Makarov (24'), Chavez (90+1'), Fernandez (90+6'), Fernandez (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ishkov (90+5')
Ayupov (26')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Dynamo Moscow and Ural Yekaterinburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lokomotiv 0-0 Dynamo Moscow
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Ural 1-4 Sochi
Sunday, October 22 at 10am in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 1-2 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dynamo Moscow in this match.

Result
Dynamo MoscowDrawUral Yekaterinburg
54.32% (0.562 0.56) 22.9% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 22.78% (-0.492 -0.49)
Both teams to score 56.05% (-0.387 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.09% (-0.219 -0.22)43.91% (0.216 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.7% (-0.214 -0.21)66.3% (0.211 0.21)
Dynamo Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.91% (0.116 0.12)16.09% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.51% (0.213 0.21)45.49% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8% (-0.55499999999999 -0.55)33.19% (0.552 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.2% (-0.614 -0.61)69.8% (0.611 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Dynamo Moscow 54.32%
    Ural Yekaterinburg 22.78%
    Draw 22.9%
Dynamo MoscowDrawUral Yekaterinburg
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.131 0.13)
2-0 @ 8.91% (0.155 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.43% (0.116 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.73% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.48% (0.062 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 54.32%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.05 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 22.78%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Lokomotiv 0-0 Dynamo Moscow
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 0-0 Fakel
Sunday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 1-1 Dynamo Moscow
Sunday, October 1 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 1-0 Dynamo Moscow
Saturday, September 23 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 1-1 Nizhny Novgorod
Friday, September 15 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Rostov 1-2 Dynamo Moscow
Sunday, September 3 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Ural 1-4 Sochi
Sunday, October 22 at 10am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Ural 2-2 Lokomotiv
Saturday, October 7 at 10am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Rostov 2-2 Ural
Friday, September 29 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krasnodar 2-0 Ural
Sunday, September 24 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Ural 0-0 Fakel
Sunday, September 17 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Ural 0-1 Akhmat Grozny
Saturday, September 2 at 11am in Russian Premier League


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