SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 48.14%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | Torpedo Moskva |
48.14% ( -1.22) | 25.97% ( 0.46) | 25.9% ( 0.77) |
| Both teams to score 49.75% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.17% ( -1.21) | 53.83% ( 1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.7% ( -1.03) | 75.3% ( 1.03) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( -1.04) | 22.38% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.12% ( -1.58) | 55.88% ( 1.58) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.1% ( -0) | 35.9% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.32% ( -0) | 72.68% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | Torpedo Moskva |
| 1-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 9% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.02% Total : 48.13% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.94% Total : 25.9% |
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